煤矿地下积水采空区防水密闭安全评价方法研究

    Study on waterproof and airtight safety evaluation method for goaf with underground water accumulation in coal mine

    • 摘要: 煤矿地下积水采空区的建设及应用为井下生产开采和地面工业用水提供了重要保障,人工防水密闭安全运行性能越来越受重视。为提供可靠的监测方案和安全评价技术手段,以石圪台煤矿31205积水采空区3#防水密闭墙作为研究对象,设计针对表面应变计、钻孔应力计和渗压计监测方案,并将表面应变计B1、B3及钻孔应力计LY作为输入矩阵,渗压计LS1作为输出矩阵,引入GRNN模型(广义神经网络),采用十折交叉验证法和循环迭代逻辑进行网络训练及数据预测评价,得出最佳光滑因子 \sigma 为0.2,并在此状态下得出渗压预测结果绝对误差不超过0.01的为97%;同时与BP神经网络模型进行预测对比发现:GRNN模型预测效果优于BP模型;引入PNN模型(概率神经网络)对GRNN模型分类评价结果10个等级共100个数据进行分类验证,评价样本准确率为96.7%。研究结果表明:GRNN模型可准确预测出渗压监测数据,且GRNN模型准确性较BP模型准确性高;通过GRNN模型预测出的评价等级,使用PNN模型仍可进行有效的评估验证。

       

      Abstract: The construction and application of underground ponding goaf in coal mine provide important guarantee for underground production and mining and surface industrial water. The mine pays more attention to the safe operation performance of artificial waterproof sealing. For providing reliable monitoring scheme and safety evaluation technical means, taking 3# waterproof sealing wall in 31205 ponding goaf of Shigetai Coal Mine as the research object, the monitoring scheme for surface strain gauge, borehole stress gauge and osmometer is designed, and the surface strain gauge B1, B3 and borehole stress gauge LY are used as the input matrix, and the osmometer LS1 is used as the output matrix. The GRNN model (generalized neural network) is introduced, and the network training and data prediction evaluation are conducted using the ten fold cross validation method and cycle iteration logic. The best smoothing factor is 0.2, and 97% of the absolute error of seepage pressure prediction results under this condition is less than 0.01; at the same time, compared with BP neural network model, GRNN model is superior to BP model. PNN model (probabilistic neural network) is introduced to verify the classification of 100 data in 10 grades of GRNN model classification evaluation results, and the accuracy of evaluation samples is 96.7%. The results show that GRNN model can accurately predict the seepage pressure monitoring data, and the accuracy of GRNN model is higher than that of BP model; the evaluation grade predicted by GRNN model can still be effectively evaluated and verified by using PNN model.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回