马清水,赵相铮,宋振骐,等. 回采巷道稳定性风险评判模型设计与系统应用[J]. 煤矿安全,2024,55(10):1−11. doi: 10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231009
    引用本文: 马清水,赵相铮,宋振骐,等. 回采巷道稳定性风险评判模型设计与系统应用[J]. 煤矿安全,2024,55(10):1−11. doi: 10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231009
    MA Qingshui, ZHAO Xiangzheng, SONG Zhenqi, et al. Design and system application of risk evaluation model for mining roadway stability[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2024, 55(10): 1−11. doi: 10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231009
    Citation: MA Qingshui, ZHAO Xiangzheng, SONG Zhenqi, et al. Design and system application of risk evaluation model for mining roadway stability[J]. Safety in Coal Mines, 2024, 55(10): 1−11. doi: 10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20231009

    回采巷道稳定性风险评判模型设计与系统应用

    Design and system application of risk evaluation model for mining roadway stability

    • 摘要: 在煤矿工作面回采过程中,复杂的地质条件和开采手段导致回采巷道破坏时空关系分布复杂,多方面致灾因子耦合使回采巷道风险隐患增加,潜在的诸多风险因子及其存在的模糊性将直接影响回采巷道稳定性评判的准确性。因此针对煤矿回采巷道潜在风险难以被量化预判的问题,筛选提取影响巷道稳定性的风险因子,通过融合算子将衍生模糊层次分析(FAHP)风险评判模型与灰色关联分析(GRA)风险评判模型融合,构建回采巷道稳定性评判FAHP-GRA双算法结构模型,并将评判结果与现场工程对比分析并加以修正,根据评判结果找出影响回采巷道稳定性的主要风险因子,提出具有针对性的风险管控措施。开发了“FAHP-GRA融合算法的回采巷道稳定性评判系统”,对鲁西煤矿3−2A07工作面、3−1116工作面回采巷道进行评判,评判结果与现场巷道监测情况具有较高的一致性,实现了回采巷道稳定性“有效评判,快速诊断,精准预防”的目的。

       

      Abstract: In the mining process of coal mine working face, complex geological conditions and mining methods lead to complex spatial and temporal relationship distribution of mining roadway damage. The coupling of various disaster-causing factors increases the risk of mining roadway. Many potential risk factors and their ambiguity will directly affect the accuracy of the stability evaluation of mining roadway. Therefore, aiming at the problem that the potential risk of coal mine roadway is difficult to be quantified and predicted, the risk factors affecting the stability of roadway are screened and extracted. The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) risk evaluation model and grey relational analysis (GRA) risk evaluation model are fused by fusion operator, and the FAHP-GRA dual algorithm structure model of mining roadway stability evaluation is constructed. The evaluation results are compared with the field engineering and corrected. According to the evaluation results, the main risk factors affecting the stability of mining roadway are found out, and the targeted risk control measures are put forward. The stability evaluation system of mining roadway based on FAHP-GRA fusion algorithm was developed to evaluate the mining roadway of 3−2A07 working face and 3−1116 working face in Luxi Coal Mine. The evaluation results were in high consistency with the monitoring situation of the field roadway, realizing the purpose of “effective evaluation, rapid diagnosis and accurate prevention” of the stability of mining roadway.

       

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