基于GIS的巨厚煤层顶板突水危险性预测

    Risk Prediction of Water Inrush from Roof of Ultra Thick Coal Seam Based on GIS

    • 摘要: 为了解决小庄煤矿先期开采地段主采煤层顶板突水危险性预测难题,经过分析认为突水水源来自洛河组砂岩含水层。兼顾指标的重要性及数据获取的难易程度,选取了含水层厚度、岩层脆塑比、岩心采取率、岩性结构指数4个指标,运用AHP法和熵权法综合进行指标赋权,在GIS平台上通过线性加权绘制了富水性分区图,通过验证,分区较为可靠;确定裂采比为18.8,绘制出顶板覆岩冒裂安全性评价图;富水性分区图与顶板覆岩冒裂安全性评价图相结合,得出洛河组含水层突水危险性预测图。结果表明:研究区域内自东南至西北洛河组含水层富水性呈渐增趋势,同时突水危险性交替增强,总体而言,研究区域内的洛河组含水层突水危险性较高。

       

      Abstract: To solve the difficulty of predicting the risk of water inrush from the roof of the main coal seam in the early mining area of Xiaozhuang Coal Mine, the analysis shows that the source of water inrush is the aquifer of Luohe Formation. Taking into account the importance of the indicators and the ease of data acquisition, four indicators are selected, such as aquifer thickness, brittle to plastic rock ratio, ratio of cores taken and lithology structure index. AHP method and entropy weight method are used to carry out the index weighting comprehensively, and a water-rich partition map is drawn on the GIS platform by linear weighting. It is verified that the zoning method is reliable. The ratio of the height of the fractured zone to the mining height is determined to be 18.8, and the safety evaluation map of roof overburden cracking is drawn. The water-rich zoning map is combined with the safety evaluation map of roof overburden cracking to obtain the prediction map for water inrush risk. The results show that the water richness of the aquifer in the Luohe Formation from the southeast to the northwest of the study area gradually increases, and the risk of water inrush alternately increases. In general, the water inrush risk of the aquifer in Luohe Formation of the study area is high.

       

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