煤矿深部开采巷道掘进过断层安全风险综合分析与评价

    Comprehensive Analysis and Evaluation of Safety Risk of Roadway Crossing Fault in Deep Mining of Coal Mine

    • 摘要: 深部开采断层区是煤矿安全生产管理需要关注的重点部位。目前煤矿现场安全生产管理过程中,巷道掘进过断层前的安全风险评价多源自经验判断、定性估计。基于层次分析法,科学确定影响巷道过断层安全风险的多种因素及其权重,对16处掘进作业面过断层安全风险状况进行综合排序;并应用灰色聚类法建立过断层安全风险评估预测模型,评测了各作业面的安全风险等级。结果表明:通过层次分析综合排序和灰色聚类法对掘进巷道过断层安全风险进行评价,其一致性良好;评价过程基于采掘过程获取的地质数据、数据处理较为简便。

       

      Abstract: Deep mining fault areas are the key points of coal mine management of safe production. At present, in the process of coal mine site safety production management, the safety risk assessment before roadway crossing fault mostly comes from experience judgment, qualitative estimation. Based on the analytic hierarchy process(AHP), multiple factors and their weights affecting the safety risk of roadway crossing fault are scientifically determined, and a comprehensive ranking of the safety risk status of 16 heading surfaces has been made. The grey clustering method is applied to establish the risk assessment and prediction model of crossing fault safety, and the safety risk grade of each heading surface is evaluated. The results show that it has good consistency to evaluate the safety risk of tunneling roadway crossing fault by AHP comprehensive ranking and grey clustering method, the evaluation process is based on the geological data obtained from the mining process, and the data processing is relatively simple, which has a positive reference significance for the study and solution of similar problems in coal mines.

       

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