基于FTA的近距离煤层群沿空切巷开采条件下自燃诱因分析

    Analysis on Causes of Spontaneous Combustion in Close Distance Coal Seam Group Under Condition of Gob Side Entry Mining Based on FTA

    • 摘要: 针对近距离煤层群沿空切巷开采条件下,采空区漏风强度较大,立体采空区自燃隐患防治难度大的特点,基于FTA分析方法对具有该回采特征的新维煤矿8102工作面进行自然发火诱因分析。基于长期现场情况记录,确定各基本事件及中间事件概率及权重,经过计算得到各自燃诱因在自然发火事故中的结构重要度、概率重要度及临界重要度。使自然发火防治工作更具有针对性,使有限人力、物力在内因火灾防治中发挥尽可能大的作用。

       

      Abstract: In view of the high leakage intensity in the goaf and the difficulty of preventing the hidden danger of spontaneous combustion in the three dimensional goaf, the natural ignition causes are analyzed based on the FTA analysis method. Based on the long-term field record, the probability and weight of the basic events and the intermediate events are determined, and the structural importance, probability importance and critical importance of the respective ignition causes in natural fire accidents are calculated. It makes the natural fire prevention work more pertinent, and makes the limited manpower and material resources play the most important role in the internal cause of the fire prevention and control.

       

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