煤矿内因火灾危险性评价新耦合模型

    New Coupling Model for Risk Assessment of Spontaneous Fire in Coal Mine

    • 摘要: 煤矿内因火灾影响着煤矿的安全高效生产,目前煤矿内因火灾评价准确度较低,评价方法过于陈旧。针对此问题,提出一种基于集对分析-区间三角模糊数的煤矿内因火灾危险性评价耦合模型,集对分析多元联系数可以兼顾煤矿内因火灾评价中的确定性和随机性,区间三角模糊数可以描述联系数同异反结构中差异度系数的连续变化过程。运用该耦合模型与模糊综合评价方法,对鹤岗矿区内因火灾危险性进行评价,评价结果符合现场实际,并且联系数也更能直观地反映煤矿内因火灾的强弱。

       

      Abstract: The spontaneous fire in coal mine affects the safe and efficient production of coal mine.At present, the evaluation accuracy of spontaneous fire in coal mine is low, and the evaluation method is too old.To solve these problems, we propose a kind of risk evaluation coupling model for spontaneous fire based on set pair analysis and interval triangular fuzzy number, the multivariate connection number of set pair analysis can take account of the deterministic and random in the evaluation of spontaneous fire in coal mine; the interval triangular fuzzy number can describe the continuous change process of the difference coefficient of connection number in identical discrepancy structure. By using the coupling model and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, we evaluate the spontaneous fire hazard in Hegang Coal Mine. The evaluation results are consistent with the actual results, moreover, the connection number can also directly reflect the strength and weakness of spontaneous fire in coal mine.

       

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