基于改进模糊层次分析法的煤层底板突水危险性评价

    Risk Evaluation of Coal Floor Water Inrush Based on Improved Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

    • 摘要: 为了使平煤五矿二1煤层能够安全开采,通过分析矿区地质、水文地质条件,选取寒灰含水层水压、富水性、底板有效隔水层等效厚度、脆性岩厚度和断层分形维数作为底板突水的主要影响因素,并采用改进模糊层次分析法(IFAHP)确定各因素的权重,建立煤层底板突水评价模型,对底板突水危险性进行分区。结果表明:五矿寒灰突水危险性由东向西先增强、后减弱,且以己四采区的突水危险性最高。

       

      Abstract: In order to mine Ⅱ1 coal seam in Pingdingshan No.5 Mine safely, through the comprehensive analysis of mine geology and hydrogeological conditions, we select hydraulic pressure and watery of Cambrian limestone aquifer, the equivalent thickness and the thickness of brittle rock of effective confining bed and fault fractal dimension as the main factors for water inrush of floor, and adopt IFAHP to determine the weight coefficient of each main factor, and establish evaluation model of water inrush from coal seam floor and divide the risk of water inrush. The results show that water inrush risk enhances firstly and then weakens from east to west, and the water inrush risk index of Ji4 panel is very high.

       

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