基于IGSA-ELM模型的回采工作面瓦斯涌出量预测

    Gas Emission Quantity Prediction of Working Face Based on IGSA-ELM Model

    • 摘要: 针对现有煤矿回采工作面瓦斯涌出量预测方法存在的预测时间较长,预测精度不高的问题,提出了用IGSA优化ELM神经网络的瓦斯涌出量预测模型。将优选策略和粒子的记忆、信息交换功能引入万有引力搜索方法,利用IGSA对ELM神经网络的网络隐含层节点数进行寻优,利用自相关系数法筛选出回采工作面瓦斯涌出量的8个主要影响因素,建立基于IGSA-ELM算法的瓦斯涌出量预测模型,并结合矿井监测到的历史数据进行实例分析。试验结果表明:经IGSA优化后的ELM神经网络瓦斯涌出量预测模型与PSO-ELM神经网络、ACC-ENN和GSA-ELM神经网络预测模型相比,预测精度分别提高310%、60%、31%,为回采工作面瓦斯涌出量的预测提供了一种新的快速预测方法。

       

      Abstract: There were some problems of gas emission prediction method for the existing coal mining working face, for example the long prediction time and the low prediction accuracy. According to the above, the gas emission prediction model proposed for the optimized ELM neural network with gravity algorithm. The gravitational search method was improved by employing the optimization strategy and the memory and information exchange function of the particle. IGSA was used to search and optimize network hidden layer node number of ELM neural network. The autocorrelation coefficient method was adopted to screen out eight main factors which affected gas emission quantity. The gas emission prediction model was established based on the IGSA-ELM algorithm, and it was analyzed combined with the historical data from mine monitoring. Experimental results showed that the gas emission prediction model of ELM neural network optimized by IGSA, its prediction accuracy increased by 310%, 60% and 31% respectively, compared with the PSO-ELM neural network, the ACC-ENN and the GSA-ELM neural network prediction model, which provided a new fast method for the gas emission prediction of working face.

       

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