层次分析-熵值法在煤层底板突水预测中的应用

    Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process- entropy Weight Method in Water Burst Evaluation of Coal Seam Floor

    • 摘要: 基于范各庄矿12煤层底板突水预测的复杂性,在利用最大构造曲率、含水层水压、富水性、隔水层厚度、岩性比、导水裂隙带深度对各突水因素进行量化表征基础上,通过熵值法对层次分析法求得的主观权重进行修正,确定各突水因素的权重。并建立了煤层底板突水的指数加权模型,预测结果与已知突水点吻合度达80%,结果表明:研究区突水危险性呈现由东往西逐渐增大的趋势,其中南部毕各庄向斜区(未采区)轴部及东北翼突水危险性指数很高。

       

      Abstract: Based on the complexity of water inrush evaluation for coal seam floor, and on the basis of using the value of structural curvature, water pressure of aquifer, water-richness, the thickness of impermeable layer, the percent of lithology, the depth of diversion fissure zone as the quantified characterization of the water inrush factors, subjective weights obtained by analytic hierarchy process were corrected by entropy weight method. The weighing values of water inrush factors are determined. The anastomosing level of the prediction and the known water inrushing point is about 80% by establishing the exponential weighting model. The results show that the water inrush risk becomes more obvious from east to west; the risk index of the axis of south synclinal area (non-mining area) and northeast wing of Bigezhuang Mine is very high.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回